Play these horses in the Rebel Stakes
By: John Caro, ThoroFan Handicapper
The weather may be a factor as it is forecasted to have showers during the latter part of the day.
Let's review the horses to bet.
We have an unbeaten favorite in #2 Newgrange who’s Baffert’s entry with Johnny V up for the task. Hard to argue with an unbeaten favorite who’s trained by the guy who has won like 8 of the last 10 Rebel Stakes, but there are some entries that could hamper the favorite along the way.
We have a proven winner over the track in wet conditions in #11 Dash Attack, who took the Smarty Jones here last month.
Second behind the favorite in the Southwest last out, #9 Barber Road is a tough character and is a winner or place horse in 5 of his 6 races.
#1 Kovad and #7 Ben Diesel might be the pace factors. Kovad set a fairly strong pace in the Southwest and was caught by the favorite and others. He has improved since changing barns under Chris Hartman. Ben Diesel seems solid until the top of the stretch and gives it up.
There are two who have speeds that can compete and are on the improve. #10 Ethereal Road won last out with a furious closing bid to win by four, and #8 Chasing Time, whose two wins and a place in four starts makes him my top pick of the Asmussen trained entries.
The others on the card do not show enough to mention.
If it is a fast track, the favorite is the likely winner, given his record. If it’s good to sloppy, I’d look for an upset. The safe betting says play the favorite on top in any exotics with those that are proven.
Handigambling
$.50 Trifecta Fast Track bet: 2 with 9, 11, 8 with 9, 11, 8, 1, 7, 10 cost $7.50
$.50 Trifecta Wet Track bet: 9, 11, 8 with 2 with 9, 11, 8, 1, 7, 10 cost $7.50
You can multiply the bet to suit your taste. And as always, stay within your limits.
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