Friday, November 13, 2026

Handicapper's Corner: 2026 Bob Hope Stakes (G3)

 

 

Looking for the Last Laugh in Bob Hope Stakes

By: Nick Costa, Trackside with Trackman  

Hello, race fans! Our ThoroFan Race of the Week takes us to Del Mar on Sunday for the Grade 3 Bob Hope Stakes, a seven-furlong test on the dirt for two-year-olds.

The race has a long history, dating back to 1981 when it was first run as the Hollywood Prevue Stakes at Hollywood Park. After that track closed, the race moved to Del Mar and was renamed in honor of the legendary entertainer.

Last year's renewal was canceled after only three horses were entered, but the 2026 edition is ready to go with a field of seven juveniles. Trainers Doug O'Neill and Bob Baffert account for the entire lineup, with O'Neill sending out five entrants and Baffert represented by the other two. With the field set, the focus now turns to which horse will come out on top in this year's renewal.

A Look at the Field 


This year's field presents an intriguing handicapping puzzle. All seven entrants are lightly raced juveniles, with just 19 career starts combined. With so little experience to draw upon, determining which horses are ready to take the next step forward will be a key part of the analysis.

With O'Neill holding five of the seven spots in the field and Baffert accounting for the other two, that concentration of runners from two powerful training operations adds another layer of interest. But the deciding factors will be what each horse has accomplished so far and how their running styles match up.

At seven furlongs, early positioning and pace could play a major role. With several runners possessing early speed, the question is whether one can establish control or whether pressure near the front will create an opportunity for a horse sitting just off the leaders.

How We See the Race Playing Out

The pace picture starts with Baffert's Domus, who owns the strongest early-pace figure in the field from his most recent race. He has faced Grade I competition in the American Pharoah and Del Mar Futurity, and the cutback to seven furlongs could suit him. The addition of blinkers is another factor to watch. However, Domus won't necessarily get an easy lead with O'Neill's High Pronto and Dats Improbable also possessing early speed.

If those horses push the pace, Kivo could be in an ideal position. He has the field's best last-race speed figure and has shown the ability to compete with strong company. His running style suggests he can settle behind the leaders and make his move without getting caught up in the early battle. That combination makes him our top choice.

Domus remains a serious threat. He has shown the strongest overall credentials in the field and has been tested against tougher company. His early speed could prove decisive if he gets comfortable on the front end. The concern is whether the pressure from the other speed horses will leave him vulnerable late.

Fractious is our third selection. His late-pace figure is the best in the field, and if the leading trio goes too quickly early, he could be the one finishing strongest in the stretch. He will need to improve on his overall speed to beat the top two, but the race setup gives him a plausible route to victory.

Sip It deserves consideration as well. He posted a competitive recent speed figure and could save ground from the rail while tracking the leaders. His move from turf to dirt adds some uncertainty. Therefore, Fractious gets the edge in our rankings.

Del Mar's recent seven-furlong results suggest a possible advantage for early speed, although the sample is small and the trend should be treated with caution. If Domus can establish a comfortable lead, he could be tough to catch. However, if the other speed horses challenge him early, Kivo and Fractious could benefit.

Our Selections

1. Kivo — The strongest blend of recent speed, class, and a potentially favorable stalking trip.

2. Domus — A class-tested speedster who has faced top-level competition. He can win if he controls the race, but pressure from the other front-runners could leave him vulnerable late.

3. Fractious — The late-running threat. He needs the pace to work in his favor, but he could be dangerous if the leaders tire.

Wagering Strategy

We'll put our money behind Kivo and Domus in the win pool, with Kivo getting the larger share as our top selection. Our $100 budget calls for $40 to win on Kivo and $30 to win on Domus.

We'll use the remaining $30 on three $5 exacta boxes:

  • $5 exacta box: 7 Kivo / 4 Domus
  • $5 exacta box: 7 Kivo / 2 Fractious
  • $5 exacta box: 4 Domus / 2 Fractious

Each $5 exacta box covers both possible finishing orders for its two horses, costing $10 altogether. This gives us coverage if Kivo or Domus wins, while also including Fractious in case the pace favors the closer.

Our plan is to lean on Kivo, respect Domus's class and speed, and use Fractious as a potential beneficiary of a demanding pace.

Good luck with your wagers and as always, enjoy the race!!

 

Friday, November 6, 2026

Handicapper's Corner: 2026 Mother Goose Stakes (G2)

  

Who Gets the Golden Egg in the Mother Goose?

By: Laurie Ross, Pedigree Power

The $300,000 Mother Goose Stakes (G2) brings together eleven 3-year-old fillies Saturday at Belmont Park.

The 1 1/16 miles event is carded as race nine with a 3:43 PM ET post time. Cotillion winner Bodacious Bay heads the field, while unbeaten Intrepids Fantasy gets her first stakes test.

Let’s review the most likely board hitters. 

7. Bodacious Bay (5-2) stalked the Cotillion pace before drawing off by 3 1/4 lengths over Always a Runner, with Measure third. Her 98 Brisnet speed figure followed a 99 when second in the Monmouth Oaks, giving her the two best figures in this field. The Saffie Joseph Jr. trainee has never finished worse than second in five starts and can sit behind the inside speed. She worked a bullet half in :47 at the Saratoga training track on Oct. 25, the same move she made a week before the Cotillion which suggests she’s ready to pick up where she left off. Win Contender.

3. Tap to Open (5-1) took the scenic route in the Cotillion, racing wide before finishing fourth, 8 1/2 lengths behind Bodacious Bay. The Brad Cox trainee previously fought back to win the Cathryn Sophia with a 95 speed figure over good footing. Her best fast-track figure is 91, so she needs to improve to catch Bodacious Bay. She has enough speed to hold a position, but her Cotillion effort suggests she can also settle behind the leaders. Win Contender.

2. Answered Prayers (8-1) is the most consistent filly in the field and has finished first or second in five of six starts, including all four tries at this distance. She was second-best to Consequent in the Seneca Overnight Stakes after winning a Saratoga allowance with a 95 speed figure. The Bill Mott trainee should save ground from her inside post and let the speedier fillies do the early work. She fired a sharp half in :47 2/5 at Churchill on Oct. 30, second-best of 90, which is encouraging after seven weeks away. Exotics.

10. Intrepids Fantasy (8-1) has won all three starts at Delaware by a combined 23 1/2 lengths, improving her speed figures from 73 to 92 to 96. Her latest romp came over muddy footing, but she earned the 92 on a fast track after sitting just behind the leaders. That versatility could come in handy from an outside post. The Gary Capuano trainee leaves Delaware and faces stakes company for the first time. She has the figures to belong, but this bunch should make her work harder than her last two fields did. Exotics.

1. Cognition (9-2) drew off by 4 lengths at Keeneland in her first start in more than a year. The Chad Brown trainee has the rail and Flavien Prat, a dangerous combination on a strip that has favored speed. Brown has won three of the last seven runnings of this race. She stretches out to two turns for the first time, and her one-turn figure needs to improve. Exotics.

11. Run Wild (15-1) has won her last two dirt routes and earned a field-best 107 late pace rating at Laurel. Her early pace ratings were only 69 and 76, so she had plenty left for the finish. The Miguel Clement trainee faces a substantial class hike from allowance company, and the outside post won’t make the trip easier. She can collect a minor award if the leaders get carried away. Exotics Longshot.

Analysis

Previous Starts: Thirteen of the last 16 Mother Goose winners finished third or better last out, and five won their final prep.

Run Style: Pace pressers are the most successful with eight wins. Closers won five and pacesetters three.

Favorites: Seven favorites have won since 2009, and second choices won six more. Only three winners came from outside the top two choices.

Post Position: Posts 1 through 3 produced 11 of the 16 winners. Nobody has won from post 7 or wider, though most of those fields were small.

The pace projects quick early fractions. Cognition has the rail and the best early figure, and Intrepids Fantasy has to hustle from post 10 to keep up. Belmont's dirt routes have been kind to speed this meet, but a duel up front should set up for a presser.

Bodacious Bay is the filly to beat. She owns the top figures in the field and is training the same way she did before the Cotillion. She won't be much of a price at 5-2, but she's the most likely winner.

Tap to Open gets a better post for Cox and Manuel Franco. She's the one most likely to make Bodacious Bay work for it, and 5-1 is a fair price for a filly who was compromised by a wide trip last time.

Answered Prayers will be sitting in the pocket waiting for the speed to come back. At 8-1, she's the value play for the exotics.

Intrepids Fantasy and Cognition bring the speed. One of them could hang on for a piece. Cognition is short at 9-2 for a filly stretching out off one start this year, so Intrepids Fantasy at 8-1 is the better bet.

Selections

7. Bodacious Bay (5-2)

3. Tap to Open (5-1)

2. Answered Prayers (8-1)

10. Intrepids Fantasy (8-1)

 

Wednesday, October 28, 2026

Handicapper's Corner: 2026 Breeders' Cup Classic (G1)

 

 

 

 

 A Tough Call at Keeneland: Our Breeders’ Cup Classic Picks

The $7 million Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1), the grand finale for 3-year-olds and up, caps off another thrilling year of racing.

Back at Keeneland for the fourth time, this year’s Classic packs serious star power. This is only the third time in Breeders’ Cup history that two Kentucky Derby winners faced each other. If that wasn’t enough, they’ll face returning Champ Forever Young, who just missed wearing the 2024 Derby roses. Toss in the formidable Knightsbridge and Dubai World Cup hero Magnitude, this year’s Preakness hero Napoleon Solo, and a couple of others, the 1 1/4-mile showdown   promises to be one for the ages.

Post time is set for 6:16 p.m. ET on Saturday, with the main track expected to be fast.

The ThoroFan Handicappers weigh in with their picks for the top three plus their favorite longshot bombs to shake up the tote board! 

May the odds be ever in your favor! 

HANDICAPPER

FIRST

SECOND

THIRD

LONGSHOT

Michael Amo

Magnitude

Napoleon Solo

Knightsbridge

The Puma

John Caro

Magnitude

The Puma

Sovereignty

Knightsbridge

Nick Costa

Forever Young

Golden Tempo

Sovereignty

The Puma

Stuart Mark de Voe

Magnitude

Knightsbridge

Golden Tempo

Napoleon Solo

Robert Marks

Forever Young

Knightsbridge

Magnitude

The Puma

MaryJo Moncheski

Golden Tempo

Forever Young

Sovereignty

Knightsbridge

Laurie Ross

Sovereignty

Forever Young

Golden Tempo

Magnitude