Super Longshot Play in Buena Vista Stakes
By: Robert Marks (@theyreinthegate)
Saturday at 5:39 pm Eastern time is the Grade 2 2020
$200,000 Buena Vista Stakes. This race is for fillies and mares 4 old’s and Up.
The Distance is 1 miles on the turf.
With no Derby Prep races this week, this
will be the main event of the day going off as Race #5 on the Santa Anita card.
#9 Super Patriot (12-1) In these turf races I look for experience and
this 5 year old mare fits the bill. She also has been in the money the last 7
races which include 5 at Santa Anita. Trained by Richard Baltas, I love the
valve at 12-1 and this is a strong overlay bet.
#2Caressa (4-1) This 4 year old is hot, winning 3 of
the last 4. The caveat is that she has only 1 start on the turf but that was
her last race, it was at Santa Anita, and she beat older mares. With 12 racers
could get caught in a pace duel. She will be close to the front early on.
#8-Lady Prancelot (Ireland) (5-1) Another Richard Baltas trainee, she likes the
win photo with a win % of 29% and over ½ million dollars in earnings. This 4
year old has a lot of starts (17) and now she faces older stakes seasoned
mares. Pace makes the race and we think there will be enough pace for her deep
closing running style for her to be coming late picking off horses.
Overall, we expect a fast pace with Caressa right
there going early setting up the race for our other 2 picks, Super Patriot
and Lady Prancelot closing late. We see Super Patriot as the
victor. If she is anywhere near the morning line odds of 12-1 this will be a
steal and worthy of win bet money.
Wagering/Betting Handigambling Bankroll: Here is our $100
worth of betting for the race
Exacta Key Box: 9/2,8
= $10 for $40 total
Trifecta 9/2,8/2,8 = ($5
Box for $10 Total)
Win Bet 9 = $50
As always, watch the Board and if at the track watch how the
horses look in the Paddock and adjust your bets accordingly. Good Luck!
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