Longshot could prevail in Pegasus World Cup
By: Robert Marks, @theyreinthegate
Saturday at 5:34 pm Eastern time is the Grade 1 2020 Pegasus
World Cup Invitational Stakes presented by (who else) Runhappy. This race is
for 4-year old’s and Up. The purse is $3,000,000. The distance is 1 1/8 miles
on the dirt track. This is the premier race for the winter Gulfstream meet
other than the Fountain of Youth and Florida Derby held in the next few months.
The race has been hurt by the late scratches of Omaha Beach
and Spun to Run. Nevertheless, we expect the handle to be large and you can
watch it on NBC starting at 4:30 pm.
Here is your field and who we like:
#3 Diamond Oops-Morning Line Odds 20-1: Comes off a 7-furlong race on this track on
December 21st winning the Grade 3 Mr. Prospector. He is 5-6 overall on this
track. His workouts have also been sharp. He has the speed to stay with this
group. Have to believe the 20-1 odds will come way down come post time.
Anything above 4-1 will be great valve on this 5-year-old gelding. Jump on him
and hope the odds stay high.
#7-War Story – Morning Line Odds 30-1: How can you
not like this hard-knocking 8-year-old gelding. He is entered for the 3 time in
the Pegasus. Like Diamond Oops he comes
off a win over the track, winning the Harlan Holiday Stakes back in December at
1 1/16th. Now in the barn of rising star
Elizabeth Dobles, what a story it will be if War Story can win this. His last 2
races show nice speed figures and we think he has enough in the tank and should
be on all your exotic tickets.
#11 Tenfold Morning Line Odds 30-1: With the 2 late scratches we think a
double-digit morning line odds takes the win as evidenced by our 3 picks listed
here. Yes, he is an inconsistent horse, but he does step up about once a year
as he did in the 2018 Jim Dandy at Saratoga and the 2019 Pimlico Special. Well
guess what, it is now 2020. His stalking type style suits this race and he
has a good post position to do just that.
Overall, we expect a fast pace with Bodexpress and Tax
going early setting up the race for our 3 picks above with Diamond Oops
taking it followed by War Story and Tenfold closing late. With no
Superstar entered, (horses such as Maximum Security) and with the late scratch,
why can’t we see War Story or Tenfold in the money here?
Our strategy will be keying on Diamond Oops to win
and putting him on top of our Exactas and Trifectas.
Wagering/Betting Handigambling Bankroll: Here is our $100
worth of betting for the race
Exacta Key Box: $10 for $40 total
3/7,11
Trifecta ($5 Box for $10 Total)
3/7,11/7,11
Win Bet-$50 — #3
As always, watch the Board and if at the track watch how the
horses look in the Paddock and adjust your bets accordingly. Good Luck!
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