Thursday, December 16, 2021

Handicapper's Corner: 2021 Ft. Lauderdale Stakes (G2)

 12 on the turf in Ft. Lauderdale Stakes

By: John Caro, S. FL ThoroFan


Looks like it will be a lovely day for racing in South Florida with a  24% chance of rain later in the day.

Should they take it off the turf it will be run on the new Tapeta course.

 

 

 

 

There are 12 entries and an also eligible for this race.  I will only write about the top 6 contenders as I see them in the field.

 

 

#2 L'Imperator - Brown/Velasquez- won last out going longer against #1 Doswell and he's 5 for 9 all on turf. He get 99 speed at this distance and is a closing type runner. The connections and the record make him my number one pick. 

 

#8 Analyze It - Brown/Hernandez - he appears to be the speed of the speed in this test and I expect Brown will send him if for no other reason than to set up L'Imperator for a kill. He has been going 100 miles a mile at a time but in the past he can get 100 when he goes longer. ITM play.

 

#12 Space Traveller - Walsh/Gaffalione - Stalwart animal but gets an outside post at at Gulfstream that is not kind to most runners. He looks best going longer and can get 100 on a good day. Another ITM play.

 

#1 Doswell - Tagg/Alvarado - Hard not to see this one being in play as he has competed with some tough characters in the past. 

 

From here it's kinda what you like to see in a horse's performance lines and the expectation of the jockey making the right move to get ITM.

 

#11 Atone - Maker/Jaramillo  - Maker brings two horses to the race and for me this is the better choice. He can front run or be tactical and might pick up some pieces judging by the pace.Another thing to note is if the race goes to the Tapeta he is the one of two in the race who has decent speed on the All Weather.

 

#6 Renaissance Frolic - Joseph/Gonzalez  - Scratch though his last performance at Kentucky Downs. This a horse that likes to be ITM a lot and he likes Gulfstream. Along with the fact that his jockey is very keen in these situations I think he has a chance to make an impact at 30 to 1.  


Handigambling

Here's how I see it for Handigambling I'll play a $2.50 trifecta

2 with 1, 6, 8, 11, 12    =  $ 50

From a practical standpoint that's enough spent on this race. You could make it a $0.50 wager and it will be $10

 

Good luck to everyone. 

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