Saturday, September 26, 2020

Handicapper's Corner: 2020 Awesome Again Stakes (G1)

 Which horse will be Awesome Again?

By: Michael Amo, ThoroFan Board Member

   



The Awesome Again Stakes (G1) portends to be a great horse race to watch and evaluate before you wager. It has two short priced horses that could turn the five-horse race into a “match race”. Finding a worthy play presents a challenge. 

 

     The race has more angles than the Pentagon. Here is the field:  


    1.  Take the One O One (Acclamation) this horse is the fastest out of the gate and will likely set the pace. He will try to take advantage of the rail. May have a problem with the distance. Will try to seduce Maximum Security to chase or run with him.

 

2.   Improbable (City Zip) is one of the top older horses in racing. If he runs like he did in the last two he will tough to beat.

 

3.   Sleepy Eyes Todd (Paddy O’Prado) is a sleeper as his name suggests. Distance is Ok with a nice closing kick. May figure in the exotics.

 

4.   Midcourt (Midnight Lute) has tried this level with little success. No reason to expect he will challenge the favorites.

 

5.   Maximum Security (New Year’s Day) is clearly hitting his stride and winning ways. Very dangerous if he doesn’t get caught in a speed dual.

 

Although this looks like a match race on paper, it may not be. An incentive in this race is not just the purse, but the Breeders’ Cup Win and You’re In award.

In the case of the two favorites both have already secured a slot in the Breeders’ Cup Classic---Improbable’s win in the Whitney Stakes and Maximum Security’s win in Pacific Classic. For these two it is about Horse of the Year recognition. For the other three a win in this race would be a win of a life time. Said another way, they will be trying extra hard to win or just best one of the two favorites. There is where wagering value may be found.

Here is how the race could finish:

1.   Improbable (#2)

2.   Sleepy Eyes Todd (#3)

3.   Maximum Security (#5)

Handigamble:

$60 to win:  Improbable (#2) = $60

$20 Exacta Key: Improbable (#2) over Sleepy Eyes Todd (#3) and Maximum Security (#5) =$40

Good Luck, but keep the Day Job!


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