Friday, July 24, 2020

Handicapper's Corner: 2020 Alfred G. Vanderbilt Handicap (G1)

Quality field set for Alfred G. Vanderbilt Handicap 

By: Michael Mills, ThoroFan



The Alfred G. Vanderbilt Handicap (Grade 1), 6 furlongs on the main track at Saratoga Racecourse does not have much quantity with just a field of five but definitely has quality. 

Four of the five starters won their last start and have a total of 40 wins between them.  Not sure if other possible starters were afraid of the new shooter to the Graded Stakes game Volatile or intimidated by the old guy seven-year-old gelding Whitmore.  

On paper, all but Lexitonian has a shot to win it.  Picks are for a dry fast track.



1.  Lexitonian, Tyler Gafflione, Jack Sisterson.  Four-year-old colt has found the winner circle in graded company just once back in May 2019.  Comes in off an allowance win at Churchill back in May but would be a surprise.

2.  Whitmore, Joel Rosario, Ron Moquett.  Seven-year-old gelding is a warrior.  Two for three this year racing impressively earlier in the year at Oaklawn.  Been to the Breeders Cup twice before and looking to return this year in the Sprint.  He will be up close in the small field and show his experience and quality down the lane.

3.  Firenze Fire, Irad Ortiz Jr., Kelly J. Breen.  Five-year-old comes in following a victory in the True North Grade 2 the end of last month at Belmont.  Raced in this event last year finishing a distance 4th.  Loads of Grade 1 experience.  Not sure he is the same horse he was last year, be careful.

4.  Volatile, Ricardo Santana Jr., Steven M. Asmussen.  Four-year-old colt is the new shooter to the Graded Stakes racing game.  Lightly raced with just 5 starts (4 wins and a second) he comes in following two wins this spring and racked up 112 Beyer Figure in his last at Churchill.  Pricey fellow when purchased could be starting to live up to expectations.

5.  Mind Control, John R. Velazquez, Gregory D. Sacco.  Four-year-old strung together three wins before throwing in a clunker last month in the Carter at Belmont in the slop.  Two for two at Saratoga but will need to bring his best game to bounce back.

While I am a fan of the old guy Whitmore, I’m projecting Volatile to be too much for this field and hopefully at not too short a price.

1) #4 Volatile (4-5)
2) #2 Whitmore (2-1)
3) #3 Firenze Fire (4-1)

The Play: $50 Win #4
Have a Day……. Mike Mills

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