Saturday, April 23, 2022

Handicapper's Corner: 2022 Apple Blossom Handicap (G1)

 Letruska aims for second Apple Blossom victory

By: Laurie Ross, Pedigree Power


The $1 million Grade 1 Apple Blossom Handicap is an early-season prep for the Breeders’ Cup Distaff. Oaklawn Park’s  1 1/16 mile race for older fillies and mares has a prestigious roll-call of champions, including 3-time winner Azeri, Zenyatta, Midnight Bisou, and Untappable.

 

 

 

This year, despite the five-horse field, it’s another battle of champions.

 


Last year’s Apple Blossom heroine, Letruska, who earned 2021 Champion Older Dirt Female honors, is back to defend her title. The 6-year-old mare has lost only twice since December 2020. But, both times, she wasn’t on the lead. This year, the Fausto Gutierrez appears to be lone speed. Win Contender.

CeCe is Letruska’s main rival. Last year’s Champion Female Sprinter has successfully navigated 2-turns in two of four starts, including a by ¾ length victory in the Azeri (G2) here in her last start. The Mike McCarthy trainee will track the pace from the outside. If Letruska stubs a hoof, CeCe will take advantage.

Grade 1 winner Clairiere could be at a disadvantage. The confirmed closer will have to sit closer to the pace than usual. She’s done this unsuccessfully in the past, and the pace scenario won’t be in her favor. Still, she’s a talented filly and worth an exotics look.

Clairiere’s nemesis Maracuja drew the rail, where she can draft in behind Letruska. The Rob Atras trainee bested her rival in the CCA Oaks (G1) last year but lost two decisions to Clairiere at later dates.   Maracuja prefers 1 1/8 miles but handily beat Miss Imperial here in her first start of the year.

Miss Imperial will try her hardest to keep the pressure on Letruska but isn’t in the league of the other fillies and mares. I predict a speed/fade result. Toss.

 

Analysis

Letruska is poised to win her second Apple Blossom trophy. Last year, she gallantly fought Monomoy Girl and Swiss Skydiver to a nose decision. This year’s competition is much softer, and unless she gets away from the gate poorly or tosses a rare clunker, Letruska is our winner.

 

2. Letruska (7-5)

5. CeCe (2-1)

3. Clairiere (5-2)

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