Vertical Bet the Key to the Bing Crosby Stakes
By: Robert Marks (@theyreinthegate)
Saturday at 6:36 pm Pacific time (9:36 Eastern) is the 2021 Bing Crosby Grade 1 Stakes over 6 furlongs on the dirt for 3-year old’s and up. The purse is $300,000. This race is named for the original co-owner of Del Mar Racetrack-the Great Singer/Actor Bing Crosby.
This year’s race features a very competitive field of 9 horses, including the defending Bing Crosby 2020 winner, Collusion Illusion.
#2: Vertical Threat (8-1): This 4-year-old colt also comes off a long layoff but, unlike Collusion Illusion in his last start, was impressive winning going away last November at Mahoning Valley Racetrack. Had a very impressive Speed figure in the win and is a consistently fast colt. He also has a win at Del Mar, winning the Smiling Tiger Stakes in only the third start of his career. This race seems to set up well for him as there will likely be a fast pace up front, and Vertical Threat can stay close and finish with a strong late pace close. He is 3-3 at 6 furlongs, and he is our top choice to win.
#8 Dr. Schivel (7-2): This 3-year-old colt has been in the money all five times he raced with three firsts. After winning the Del Mar Futurity last September, there was a long 9-month layoff until he ran and won in an Optional Claiming race at Santa Anita last month. Taking a step up in class but has the Late Pace we think this race requires. Also has Flavien Pratt, who has been red hot at Del Mar this summer so far.
#6 Collusion Illusion (4-1): This is your Defending Champ. In the money seven out of nine starts, so definitely likes to compete. Also, 3-3 at Del Mar. My only worry is the 7-month layoff as this colt has not raced since last December and looked lackluster at that. Probably worth a bet at 4-1 but will shy away if odds drop any lower, especially with the long layoff and no wins last three outings, might need a race to get back to winning form.
Analysis
As for the rest of the field, we will throw out Eight Rings, who look like an underperformer, and we don’t like CZ Rocket, the veteran 7-year-old, as he will be running for the first time without Lasix medication.
Overall, we expect a fast pace with Quick Tempo, Eight Rings and Brickyard Ride, the early pace leaders, setting up the race for Vertical Threat and Dr. Schivel to close into. We think Collusion Illusion gets up for 3rd.
Our strategy will be keying on Vertical Threat to win and putting him on top of our Exactas and Trifectas.
Wagering/Betting Handigambling Bankroll
Here is our $100 worth of betting for the race
Exacta Key Box: 2/8,6 $10 for $40 total
Trifecta: 2/8,6/8,6 ($2 Box for $12 Total)
Win Bet: 6 $48
As always, watch the Board and if at the track watch how the horses look in the Paddock and adjust your bets accordingly. Good Luck!
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