Friday, November 3, 2017

Handicapper's Corner: 2017 Breeders' Cup Distaff & Classic

2017 Breeders' Cup Picks



The ThoroFan Handicappers pondered the past performances, diligently watched prep races, and counted the hairs on the tails of all contenders entered in this year's Breeders' Cup Distaff and Classic. Below are their top 3 picks and best longshot bombs.


Breeders’ Cup Distaff
The 1 1/8 mile contest over the Del Mar dirt oval is carded as Race 9. 
Handicapper
First
Second
Third
Longshot
Michael Amo
Forever Unbridled
Stellar Wind
Paradise Woods
Abel Tasman
Elate

Paradise Woods
Stellar Wind
Mopotism


Forever Unbridled
Stellar Wind
Elate

Romantic Vision
Michael Mills

Stellar Wind
Elate

Abel Tasman
Champagne Room

Paradise Woods
Forever Unbridled
Stellar Wind
Champagne Room
Elate
Stellar Wind
Abel Tasman
Champagne Room


Breeders’ Cup Classic
The 1 1/4 mile Classic may carry Horse of the Year implications. Ten horses, colts and a lone gelding make up the eleven horse field, which is the closing race on Breeders’ Cup Saturday.

Handicapper
First
Second
Third
Longshot
Michael Amo
Gun Runner
Collected
Mubtaahij
Gunnevera

Gun Runner
Arrogate
West Coast
Churchill

Arrogate
Gun Runner
West Coast
Gunnevera
Michael Mills

Arrogate
Collected
Gun Runner
Gunnevera

Arrogate
Gun Runner
West Coast
Win the Space
Collected
West Coast
Gun Runner
Mubtaahij
 



The 2017 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (Grade I) 
By Robert Marks, They're in the Gate (and on Twitter @theyreinthegate)



The Breeders’ Cup Juvenile is a Saturday 11/04/17 held at Del Mar Racetrack where the Surf meets the Turf.  

Here is who we like
Bolt d’Oro
Hard not to like an undefeated colt coming into a race (3-0). Plus 2 of these 3 wins come on the Del Mar surface. We never know how others who have not raced on at Del Mar will fare, so we have to weigh this heavily. On paper the fastest horse in the field.


Free Drop Billy
This Dale Romans trained colt has raced 4 times with 2 wins and 2 place finishes over 3 different tracks. We like his ability and his last race was a win at 1 1/16th mile, so we know he can get the distance. He has looked good all week in workouts- a definite exacta and trifecta use.


US Navy Flag   
This Kentucky bred has raced the most-10 times, all overseas. Now he ships back to the US. Love his experience but don’t quite like the post position and question his ability to get the route. But we are looking for value and if he can get out of the gate quickly he has a chance. Put him in your exotics, especially if his odds float above 10-1 by post time. light raced 4-year-old did run this same race last year, finishing 6th. Has only 1 win in 8 starts, but that one win did come at Woodbine in last year’s Breeders Stakes. He hasn’t raced since May, that being at 1 ¼ miles at Belmont Park. But he has looked good at workouts and could clunk up to grab a piece of the exotics.


Wagering/Betting Handigambling Bankroll: Here is our $100 worth of betting for the race

Exacta Box: $20 Exacta Box ($40)
5,11
Trifecta ($10 Box for $60 Total)
1,5,11

As always, watch the Board and if at the track watch how the horses look in the Paddock and adjust your bets accordingly. Good Luck!

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