March to a Different Drummer in the Gulfstream Park Turf 'Cap
By: Michael Amo, ThoroFan
A
fortnight after the Pegasus World Cup Invitational Gulfstream Park is hosting a
grade one turf race for 4-year-olds and up. With the purse of $300,000 it
attracted a solid field of eight. Based on morning line odds there is not a
clear favorite to win this race. That makes the handicapping challenge even
more interesting and hopefully profitable. The pace should be honest and
stretch dual intense.
Here is the field:
1. Heart
to Heart (English
Channel) with earnings over $1.5 million he is the class of the field. With the
inside post expect Leparoux to hustle him out of the gate. The Gulfstream Turf
course has been favoring that approach. Yet this short-priced horse seems to be
off his best and may struggle with the distance. Unsure.
2. One
Go All Go
((Fairbanks) has been showing improvement of late, but unlikely ready to make
an impression in this race.
3. Kurilov
(CHI) ( Lookin At
Lucky) may contest the early pace. His attempts on the grass have been less
that exciting, yet Chad Brown cannot be over looked, especially with a 25%-win-rate
when going from dirt to turf.
4. Hi
Happy (Pure Prize)
can also scoot out of the gate. Getting hot jockey, Saez, speaks volumes for
what trainer Pletcher thinks about his chances. Layoff not a huge problem,
although having not raced in ten months doesn’t feel warm and cuddly. His last
two attempts after substantial layoffs were not great successes. Big question
mark.
5. Money
Multiplier (Lookin At
Lucky) seems like Brown’s horse. Castellano stays aboard. He seems like one of
the ones that will be running at the end. Distance of the race will not be a
problem. His performance in the Red Smith at 1 3/8 miles at Aqueduct shows
that. Better yet, that race was a “key race” where of four of the horse that
ran since that race, two have won.
6. March
(Blame) is the son of
the 2010 Breeders’ Cup Classic winner that beat Zenatta at Churchill Downs. He
may be stepping up in company, but he is coming into form. His workouts and
recent performance over the track suggest he may be ready. Surprised that Chad
Brown was replaced as trainer by Thomas? Picking up the local rider,
Gaffalione, adds to his allure.
7. Revved
Up (Candy Ride) looks
like a promising long shot who can light-up the exotics’ board. He, too, came
out of a “key race” at Churchill Downs in November. Trainer Shug McGaughey III
must be respected.
8. Channel
Maker (English
Channel) at four is the youngster in the field and will not respecting his
elders as the field turns toward home. Castellano’s choice to ride Money
Multiplier instead of him after his nice showing at Del Mar last out should
give pause.
Although
horses from the inside and on the turf have been successful, 25% win rate in
the last week, the pace will be hot and the likely winner will come off the
pace. Four horses have the right running style for this task ---Money
Multiplier, March, Revved Up and Channel Maker. Although Money Maker seems the
best of the quartet, Gaffalione on March might surprise at a price.
Here is how they should finish:
1. March (#6)
2. Money Multiplier (#5)
3. Heart to Heart (# 1)
4. Revved Up (#7)
Handigamble:
$10 Exacta
Box (1, 5, 6) = $60
$40 to Place
on (# 6) = $40
No comments:
Post a Comment