Friday, October 4, 2019

Handicapper's Corner: 2019 Champagne Stakes (G1)

All Systems Go in Champagne Stakes

By: Laurie Ross, IMTBreds

 

The Champagne Stakes is the final leg of a trio of graded stakes for 2-year-old-colts over the dirt in New York; the other two are the Sanford and Hopeful. The winner will earn a spot in the 2019 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Colts.

The one-mile race drew seven colts.




The Favorite
GREEN LIGHT GO (Hard Spun - Light Green, by Pleasantly Perfect) is one of the best 2-year-olds in the country. After winning his debut by 3 1/4-lengths, the Jimmy Jerkens trainee won the Saratoga Special (G2) by 3 3/4-lengths. Colts from both races have returned to flatter Green Light Go by earning blacktype.  


Hoping to Upset
THREE TECHNIQUE (Mr Speaker - Nite in Rome, by Harlan's Holiday) placed second his second start, 1 1/4-lengths behind by eventual Hopeful (G1) winner Basin. Three Technique put it together in his last outing, overwhelming maidens by 5 1/2- lengths when he stretched out to seven furlongs.  The Jeremiah Englehart trainee earned the highest late pace speed figure in the field (101). Three Technique’s last two works have been strong.


TIZ THE LAW (Constitution - Tizfiz, by Tiznow) proved to be too good for state-breds, winning his 6 1/2-furlong debut by 4 1/2-lengths. Now the Barclay Tagg trainee steps into Grade 1 company. Tiz the Law has a series of solid breezes, including two bullet works. 


ALPHA SIXTY SIX (Liam's Map - Giant Sensation, by Giant's Causeway) had a wide trip in his 6 1/2-furlong debut. He caught and battled with the leader, and out-gamed that one by a neck. The Pletcher trainee recorded a series of bullets leading up to the Champagne. 

GOZILLA (Flatter – Atlantic Dream, by Stormy Atlantic) After running away from a field of overmatched maidens in his debut, Gozilla mixed it up early on the front end in the Hopeful, but couldn’t sustain his speed. None of them were a match for Baisn, and Gozilla wound up third, beaten a neck for second place. The Steve Asmussen trainee boasts a second-to-last bullet 5F 1:00.90.


Logical Longshot
BIG CITY BOB (Shanghai Bobby - Southern Accents, by Birdstone) is getting no respect despite winning the Sapling Stakes at Monmonth. He’s won two of three starts. Granted, he barely squeaked by in both, by a grand total of a nose and neck, but that just shows his willingness to win…and his luck in photo finishes. Jorge Duarte, Jr.’s charge is capable of settling behind the pace or setting it.  He’s recorded a series of slow works.  


The Why Horse
TRUCULENT (Raison d'Etat - Raver, by Tiznow) is still a maiden. He just missed in his last, a mile turf event at Ellis Park, by a slim head. Distance is his friend, and he logged a bullet 4F :47.20 at Keeneland. But in a field filled with 90+ speed figures, he’s a 73. 


This is the time of year when 2-year-olds can improve seemingly overnight. Green Light Go is the one to beat, but he isn’t a lock by no means. Any one of these can jump up and run a winning race. 


Selections
#3 GREEN LIGHT GO (8/5)
#1 ALPHA SIXTY SIX (5/1)
#4 THREE TECHNIQUE (7/2)
#6 BIG CITY BOB (20/1)

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