Cardinal 'Cap Could be a Tricky Play
By: Dylan Jarmulowicz, ThoroFan Member
The Saturday feature at Churchill Downs is the Grade III Cardinal Handicap. The race is interesting mix of fillies and mares. With a strong possibility of rain, who knows what kind of shape the turf course will be in or how it will play tomorrow. Let’s find some winners!
Race 10 – 9 Furlongs (1 & ⅛ths Miles Turf) Post Time – 5:24pm (Eastern)
Advance Weather: Rain, 60s
Some of the runners in this field have run well on a moist or yielding turf course so I don’t think that the condition course itself should play as big of a role as it might usually. #12 DONA BRUJA (8/5) will most likely be the favorite and she has fared well since shipping in the US from Argentina. She has a classic turf running style coming from off the pace but she has the speed to put herself in the game right away and from the outside stall that is a plus. Other than a potential short price, there really are not too many negatives about her, you can question if the turf course is soaked maybe it would be less than ideal but I don’t think it’ll be a problem.
#7 BEAULY (5-1) and #9 LINDA (9/2) will the other two who take some money in this race and they’re both very similar to me on paper. They give an honest effort, come from off the pace and neither like to win very much, especially recently. LINDA has run in tougher races but twice recently has failed as a 90 cent on a dollar favorite. BEAULY you can make an excuse for running in races that are probably harder that where she should be placed but runs well every time. She also has gotten stuck out wide in her most recent starts which is never a positive. I’ll use both underneath in exotics.
My top play is #2 TRICKY ESCAPE (8-1). The inside post should put her in the perfect spot from the settle in from the onset. The potential moist turf course should move her up and she has a nice six-furlong workout. The price is too good for me to turn down while all the other favorites have their share of question marks.