Friday, December 14, 2018

Handicapper's Corner: Rampart Stakes (G3)

Gearing up for Wet Rampart Stakes

By: John Caro, S. FL ThoroFan Member




Welcome back to Gulfstream. Big stakes day here and Audible will be practicing for the Pegasus in the Harlan’s Holiday. But that’s another story….. The weather is forecast for 40% chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon but, this is Florida, and anything can happen.




We do have a nice field of fillies and a mare going a one turn mile for this contest. Lots of speed looks like the scenario for this running. And recent races here are not being won on the front. Those that can track a fast pace and close from near the front have been the winners. Let’s hope for a safe race.









Electric Forest (3-1) Brown/Ortiz, J.L. – There is no question that the connections are working well with this young filly. She’s two for three and 90+ on her speed going shorter. Ortiz has been aboard for all her starts and has been able to use her tactically should a fast pace be set on the front by others. The stretch-out going one turn should not be a factor given her pedigree.

Tweeting (8/5) Navarro/Jimenez – Navarro has brought a new meaning to winning at Gulfstream as of late. He’s had this filly basking in the Florida sunshine since early November and made six very nice workouts including a 6 furlong drill and a bullet last Sunday. Looks ready to go. Her narrow loss going shorter after a blistering pace may have been a result of a jockey anxious to get the lead too early. Jimenez last ride aboard was a stellar, on the lead, effort winning by 12 against weaker. The only things that concern me is class and off-track conditions. She’s not competed against much stakes company and her last effort on a good track showed regressing speed. Has to be used.

Tapa Tapa Tapa (5-1) Hamm/Castellano – Certainly the one who has seen many stakes races this classy gal was rested for several months and went back on the work tab with a vengeance since mid-October. The last four works are bullets over at Tampa. Have to think she needed a break and is back to challenge. She can go the distance and has proven it. Castellano hasn’t been burning up Gulfstream (yet) but he has won 23 stakes this year and there is no reason he can’t notch another. Longshot play.

Breaking Bread (4-1) Navarro/Jaramillo – Another from the Navarro barn who’s been down here since November and had regular works with two bullets and a mud work. Jaramillo has been working hard to win the jockey title at Gulfstream and although this mare does not play at this level she does like to be in the money. In some regard I like her better than Navarro’s short priced filly.

Tequilita (6-1) Matz/Saez – If track conditions are off, this is my go-to girl for the following: Her recent race in the mud with Saez up was well done. She has good stakes experience. She’s the top money winner in this field. She had nice works to prepare for this race. The other reason is Saez is very hot at Gulfstream. If it’s wet this is the likely winner.

Snirvana (20-1) Biancone/Maragh, R.R. – I’m looking hard at a filly that’s going to try dirt for the first time and has been training on the turf at Palm Meadows? The trainer’s record turf to dirt is 9%. His grades stakes percentage is zero, although the connections did win the black type turf stakes last week. His favorite jockey is up for this test. Wondering if the turf experience will play a role if the track is off? Maybe there is an angle I’ve overlooked, but I can live with it.

Inspeightofyou (20-1) Minott/Panici – Another I’m struggling with as the barn has had her for three weeks, done one work has speed figures that don’t figure and the trainer record in this situation is not encouraging. There is some hope in that her record shows 3 wins in four tries at the distance when training under Tom Amoss at a lower level races and a black type stakes while at Delta Downs. Filler?

Handigambling…. The Value is in the 5 and 3. Play them the way you like. My recommendations are:
It’s expected to be an off track
$3 - Trifecta – 5,3 with 5,3,1,2,4 with 5,3,1,2,4     $72
$10 – Exacta Box – 5 & 3          $20
Fast track?
$5 Trifecta 5,3 w 5,3,1 w all         $100 a
 

 

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