How to Make an Instagrand in the Gotham Stakes
By: Robert Marks (@theyreinthegate)
Saturday at 5:40 pm eastern time is the Grade 3 2019 Gotham
Stakes for 3- year-olds. This is a Derby Prep race with points given to the
first 4 finishers of the race. This is important as the top 20 horses with most
Derby prep points get into the Kentucky Derby.
Here is your field:
#6 Instagrand –
Undefeated at 2-0 but has had a long, long layoff, not racing since August.
This colt out of Into Mischief, has looked fine in workouts but hard to put our
money down on a 1-1 favorite who hasn’t raced in 7 months. He may indeed be the
best horse in the race, but you will get no value betting him.
#7 Not That Brady
– Comes off a nice 103 Beyer Speed figure on this same track as runner up to
Tax in the Withers Stakes. That was at 1 1/8 miles and now he will cut back to
the mile. He will be outside of the speed horses so if he sits off the pace and
makes the right move, we really like this horse, especially at the morning line
odds of 5-1. A must use in all your exotic plays.
#4 Much Better –
With no racing at Santa Anita Race Track Trainer Bob Baffert is shipping one of
his many 3 year olds out east for a shot at some Derby prep points. He debuted
on the grass before shifting to dirt racing. He comes off a 6 ½ allowance win
at Santa Anita. His sire is Pioneer of the Nile, same Sire of Triple Crown
winner American Pharoah. It doesn’t hurt that Mike Smith also comes east to
ride this horse. His morning odds are a juicy 10-1.
Our strategy will be on the Exacta’s and Trifecta’s hoping
Not That Brady or Much Better can come out on top with Instagrand finishing in
the place or show position. We are looking for value and bypassing any win bets
on Instagrand.
Wagering/Betting
Handigambling Bankroll: Here is our $100 worth of betting for the race
Exacta Box: $5 Exacta Box ($30)
4,6,7
Trifecta ($10 Box for $60 Total)
4,6,7
Win Bet-$10
7
As always, watch the Board and if at the track watch how the
horses look in the Paddock and adjust your bets accordingly. Good Luck!
No comments:
Post a Comment