Friday, August 18, 2017

Handicapper's Corner: Pacific Classic (G1)

Pacific Classic "A" Game 

Michael Mills, ThoroFan Member

 
The 27th running of the Pacific Classic presents good news and bad news.

The Good News
We excel in big races at finding that little something that leads us elsewhere at a price where on paper there appears to be one short priced standout.

The Bad News 
The little something is still hiding somewhere.




Observations:
Accelerate is 2 for 2 finishing ahead of Arrogate (mind you with a 9 pound weight allowance in the most recent meeting), and 3 for 3 running at Del Mar.
Several in here will not enjoy the mile and one quarter distance.
Royal Albert Hall, Sorry Erik, Donworth, and Curlin Road are all running for 4th place.

The Play:
Questions abound on what happened to Arrogate in the San Diego.  Did the trip to Dubai take too much out of him?  He just can't beat Accelerate?  The silver haired one didn't have him fully load for what should have been a walk in the park?  We will never really know those answers. 
Experience tells us we will see a much better performance out of Arrogate on Saturday, but at what price.  If he stays anywhere around the even money he is listed on the morning line he is the right investment.  With that said, also using him in the exacta with the older guy Hard Aces.

$60 Win Arrogate
$20 Ex Box Arrogate and Hard Aces
Have A Day...........Mike Mills 
 

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