Classic Winners Showdown in Jim Dandy Stakes
By Robert Marks, They're in the Gate (and on Twitter @theyreinthegate)
On Saturday, July 29, 2017 Saratoga Racetrack, the Summer Place to Be, will be host the Grade Two Jim Dandy Stakes for 3-year old’s. The purse is $600,000 and serves as a prep race for the Grade 1 Travers Stakes at Saratoga in a month. We have a small field of horses but we also have this year’s Preakness Stakes winner and the Kentucky Derby winner.
Here are the participants listed by Post Positions, Horse, Jockey and odds:
1.
Always Dreaming, K. John Velasquez, 1-1
2.
Cloud Computing, Javier Castellano, 6-5
3. Giuseppe the Great, Luis Saez, 10-1
4. Pavel, Mario Guitteriez, 6-1
5. Good Samaritan, Joel Rosario, 12-1
3. Giuseppe the Great, Luis Saez, 10-1
4. Pavel, Mario Guitteriez, 6-1
5. Good Samaritan, Joel Rosario, 12-1
Here
is who we like:
Cloud Computing- The hot horse- this
lightly raced colt has 2 wins out of 4 starts
including the Preakness Stakes. Trainer Chad Brown chose to skip the Belmont
Stakes so Cloud Computing comes into this race with a 2-month break. His
workouts have been good and it looks like Chad has this horse ready. He has the
higher speed numbers of the group, combine that with a rested horse and Chad
Brown as your trainer and this becomes our Win pick.
Always Dreaming -This Todd Pletcher trained horse is
your 2017 Kentucky Derby winner. Just like Cloud Computing, he too has been off
since the Preakness. The pace scenario looks clear, both Always Dreaming and
Cloud Computing figure to want the lead and I fully expect your leaders at the
half mile to be Always Dreaming and Cloud Computing. Does any of the other 3
get these two late and of these two, who wins. I’m thinking after that Cloud
Computing wins the battle and Always Dreaming will have to settle for place
honors.
Giuseppe the Great-This is my lukewarm pick for the show
spot. Of the 3 “other contenders” it hard for me to pick Pavel, win only 1 race
under his belt, shipping cross country from California, to be in contention. As
for Good Samaritan, longshot here at
12-1, this is his first dirt race after 6 Turf starts. The golden rule in my
book is too never bet a horse to do something he never has before. This leaves
the Nick Zito trained Giuseppe the Great as the show choice. His longest prior
race has been the Grade 3 Dwyer at a mile and he weakened late, so he looks
distance challenged. But I’m betting he has enough in the tank to outlast Pavel and Good Samaritan and hold on
for 3rd and at 10-1 that will help boost the trifecta payout.
Wagering/Betting Handigambling Bankroll: Here is
our $80 worth of betting for the race
Exacta Box: $5 Exacta ($20)
1,2
Trifecta ($10 Box for $60 Total)
1,3,4
As always, watch the Board and if at the
track watch how the horses look in the Paddock and adjust your bets
accordingly. Good Luck!
Isn't the $5 exacta box $10 and not $20
ReplyDelete